Is a Brexit Vote Happening Again
The Brexit Plan Failed Again: What Happened, and What'south Next?
• Britain'due south Parliament on Tuesday soundly defeated Prime Minister Theresa May'south plan to exit the European Wedlock, a 391 to 242 vote that is likely to filibuster Brexit and could derail it entirely. It is a devastating blow to Mrs. May that threatens her concord on power.
• The vote left the nation with no obvious way forward, only 17 days before the deadline for leaving the European union. Parliament is sharply divided on when, how and even whether to proceed with Brexit, and whether to call an election or a second referendum.
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May's Brexit Deal Fails in Parliament
Britain'southward Parliament voted on Tuesday against the latest plan proposed by Prime Government minister Theresa May to exit the European Union. Only 17 days remain earlier the deadline.
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"The ayes to the right, 242, the noes to the left, 391. So the noes have it, the noes have it. Unlock." "I profoundly regret the decision that this House has taken this evening. I continue to believe that by far the best outcome is the Britain leaves the European union in an orderly fashion, with a deal, and that the deal we've negotiated is the all-time and indeed the only deal available."
Confusion and uncertainty deepen
Parliament'south rebuke to Prime number Minister Theresa May, on the effect that has dominated British politics for iii years, casts the nation'south political and economical futurity into confusion with just 17 days left until its scheduled leave from the European Spousal relationship.
The vote is certain to intensify calls for her to either pace down, phone call a general election, or both. Plenty of Conservative lawmakers would like to take her identify as political party leader and prime number minister, but at that place is no obvious front-runner, and the outcome of a general election is just as unclear.
Mrs. May'due south plan, painstakingly negotiated with the European Wedlock, would have ready the terms for Great britain's scheduled exit on March 29.
Unless Parliament takes some other activity, Britain volition get out the bloc on that appointment without a deal in place, which Brexit hard-liners insist would exist fine, but which most lawmakers and economists say would exist disastrous.
Parliament is gear up to vote Wed on whether to pass up the prospect of a "no-bargain" Brexit, and to vote Thursday on whether to seek a postponement of the March 29 deadline.
The bloc would have to concord to a postponement, which appears likely, but the duration of such a filibuster is uncertain.
"Allow me be clear," Mrs. May said after the defeat. "Voting confronting leaving without a deal and for an extension does not solve the problems we face. The E.U. will desire to know what use nosotros will make of such an extension."
Tuesday's vote was Parliament'due south 2nd rejection of the plan, and in that location was talk of a third vote, even closer to the deadline.
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What happens now that Parliament has rejected the bargain once more?
Parliament's rejection of Mrs. May's bargain shifts the focus to a vote scheduled for Midweek on whether to oppose leaving without a deal.
After Tuesday'south vote, the prime minister said she would not try to dictate to her political party'due south members how to vote on Wednesday.
"This will be a costless vote on this side of the business firm," she said.
A vote against a no-deal Brexit would about likely crave pushing back the originally scheduled departure date of March 29, and Parliament is scheduled to vote Thursday on whether to seek a postponement.
Some hard-line Brexiteers insist that they would welcome a no-deal split as a clean and complete intermission from the European Union. Just it is articulate that most members of Parliament see it as more alike to driving over a cliff.
Formal opposition in Parliament to a no-deal departure would ratchet up pressure on the government to seek a postponement of the deadline, something that would exist contingent on an understanding between Mrs. May'due south authorities and the European union.
Michel Barnier, the bloc's master Brexit negotiator, reiterated its position that filibuster or no delay, the European Union was not prepared to brand more concessions. "The Eastward.U. has washed everything it can to assistance get the Withdrawal Understanding over the line," he wrote on Twitter.
The British government could evade the March 29 deadline unilaterally, but only by revoking its decision to exit the European Union, a step that Mrs. May has insisted she will not have. Just postponing or revoking United kingdom's divergence would give new hope to those who want to telephone call a second plebiscite.
The 2016 referendum won with 52 percent of the vote, merely Brexit opponents hope that circumstances accept changed enough to opposite the issue.
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Attorney general says little has changed, a setback for May
Prime number Government minister Theresa May's prospects of winning the crucial vote were dealt a significant accident Tuesday morning when the attorney full general, Geoffrey Cox, said that the actress assurances she had negotiated with European leaders did non fundamentally change the legal position.
Mr. Cox said the concessions did "reduce the hazard" of Britain's being trapped in the backstop — an insurance policy to ensure there is no difficult Irish border, and a main issue for opponents of Mrs. May's deal.
[What is the Irish "backstop"? Read our full caption hither.]
Merely Mr. Cox said that the assurances did not alter United kingdom's rights and obligations. Were there to be a dispute, he wrote, the country would have "no internationally lawful ways of exiting the protocol'south arrangements, save past agreement."
Mr. Cox's opinion was seen every bit influential for pro-Brexit Conservative lawmakers who had been considering voting for the deal.
On Tuesday morning, Mrs. May led a coming together of the cabinet and told her senior ministers that passing the vote would let the state to move on to a brighter future, while the alternative would exist uncertainty with no guarantee of what happens next. "Let'due south get this done," Mrs. May said, in comments released by her office.
Mrs. May has delayed the withdrawal vote fourth dimension and once more in hopes that the looming deadline would forcefulness critics on both sides to give in.
Merely she faced a very steep climb: In Jan, Parliament rejected her bargain by a vote of 432 to 202. On Tuesday, information technology became articulate that she had non inverse nearly enough minds to win.
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Making the case, fifty-fifty as her phonation gives out
Her vox hoarse and her political career hanging past a thread, Prime Minister Theresa May stood up in Parliament on Tuesday afternoon and tried to narrow the choice earlier lawmakers: Vote for my deal, she said, or Uk might very well end up staying in the European Spousal relationship.
"If this vote is not passed tonight, if this deal is non passed," Mrs. May said, "then Brexit could be lost."
Mrs. May was alluding to the possibility that, if Parliament were to reject her deal on Tuesday night, lawmakers could filibuster United kingdom of great britain and northern ireland'due south departure from the European Union, and could later get backside a softer deal or a second referendum that could refuse Brexit altogether.
The prime government minister, who hoped the threat of those outcomes would persuade difficult-line Brexit supporters to back her bargain, argued that the tweaks she had secured from the European Union on Monday had strengthened U.k.'s manus and given it more than ability over the backstop organization that would temporarily demark information technology to European trading rules.
But the empty light-green benches behind her at the start of her speech were merely one sign of the thin back up she enjoys among backbench Bourgeois members of Parliament.
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Legal experts are skeptical
Even before the attorney general had issued his assay, other legal experts had expressed similar opinions.
Apparently, the most that tin can be said for the changes is that they reinforce the notion that Britain can opt out of European trading rules if officials in Brussels are found to exist negotiating in bad religion.
"In the real world," wrote Michael Dougan, a professor of European police at the University of Liverpool, "such a prospect should exist considered almost entirely theoretical, if not altogether fanciful."
Iii experts in European and international law, commissioned by Brexit opponents to consider Mrs. May's final-minute tweaks, wrote in an 11-page opinion, "The backstop volition endure indefinitely, unless and until superseded by some other understanding, save in the extreme and unlikely event that in future negotiations the E.U. acts in bad faith in rejecting the U.K.'s demands."
New figures show an economy held back past dubiousness
Authorities figures published on Tuesday showed very weak economic growth in Britain, just 0.2 percent in the iii-month period that ended in Jan.
"Growth remained weak with falls in manufacture of metal products, cars and construction repair work all dampening growth," Rob Kent-Smith, the leader of the team that compiled the report, said in a statement.
Investment in automobile manufacturing and other sectors has taken a hit equally the country has stumbled toward Brexit. Manufacturers have pleaded with the government for some certainty and so they tin program ahead, only many have opted to take their business concern elsewhere.
Joshua Hardie, the deputy director full general at the Confederation of British Manufacture, described a no-deal Brexit as a "threat that is crippling business in sectors every day," and encouraged lawmakers to vote for the deal.
The value of the pound sagged afterwards Mr. Cox's advice on the backstop, with currency traders fearing that his comments had injure the bargain'due south chances of passing.
With the defeat of the deal, fiscal analysts said, the outlook for the pound, and the British economic system every bit a whole, depended heavily on what follows. If Mrs. May resigns or calls an early ballot, that would inject still more uncertainty into the equation, making for a bumpy ride for Britain.
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Brexit Pain at the Irish Border
The future of the Irish border has been a contentious issue during United kingdom's Brexit negotiations. We went to Northern Ireland, where residents worry that the gratuitous flow of goods and people could end once the United Kingdom leaves the European Union.
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============================================= LUKE: "An Englishman, an Irishman and a Scottishman walk into a bar. The Englishman wants to get out, so everyone has to leave" TOUTS: music "This paranoia ,..." Title: DISPATCH FROM NORTHERN IRELAND TOUTS: Singing KASSIE: How was Northern Ireland considered when this was - MATTHEW CROSSAN / LUKE MCLAUGHLIN - I don't recollect information technology was considered at all. JASON FEENAN: Brexit is the exit of the United Kingdom based on the wishes of Uk. MATTHEW: (When Article l was really triggered) The verbal words that Theresa May used was that considering of the wishes- THERESA MAY file: Under accordance with the wishes of the British people, the United kingdom of great britain and northern ireland is leaving the Eu MATTHEW: Great Uk consists of Scotland, England and Wales. And the United Kingdom consists of Scotland, England and Wales and Northern Republic of ireland. (MAP) And then even in her language it shows that definitely when information technology first happened at that place wasn't much thought. MATTHEW: I am struggling to see whatever positives for the North of Ireland. But that didn't last long. The question of Northern Ireland and its border has frustrated negotiations over Brexit. We came here to find out why. And to understand the consequences for people who live here. For the last century, Northern Ireland has had to wrestle with its identity- torn betwixt Protestants who consider themselves British Unionists and Catholics who more often than not identify as Irish Nationalists. The divide has brought years of conflict. In 1968 the Catholic minority rose up confronting Unionist and British command, spurring 30 years of brutal sectarian violence known here as The Troubles. In 1998 both sides came together under the Expert Fri Agreement, It created a somewhat unique reality here. Northern Ireland would continue to exist a part of the Uk, but as well, open its edge completely with the rest of Ireland. But the history of The Troubles is inescapable. Murals are everywhere. And Neighborhoods are color coded along sectarian lines. Here in Londonderry, or Derry, depending on whom you ask, there are walls that separate Protestants from Catholics. And the gates are locked every night. For punk band Touts, this united states and them mentality, has informed more just their music. LUKE: I've lived hither 22 years - me whole life, basically and there'southward places in Derry I've never been, or I've never walked to. I think that'south crazy. MIRIAM WHYTE: Well it's kind of rough,cause in that location's the Bogside - the generally Cosmic area and then in that location'southward hither, which is clearly the more Protestant area, simply very divided, fifty-fifty though in that location'due south trying to do more what is it called when they like - integration or something. People told united states those divisions have deepened since the Brexit vote. Under Brexit, Northern Ireland would leave with the UK, and the Ireland would remain in the EU. An idea that appears to overlook the reality on the ground hither. We headed east, thinking we could bulldoze forth the border - but information technology wasn't so elementary. In part because the border is mostly invisible. To get from one town in Northern Ireland to another, we crossed into the Republic of Ireland multiple times - without even realizing it. The roads continuously zigzag across international lines. Nat sound Kassie: Oh! Nosotros just crossed. Speaker: Ah good morning anybody, my proper noun is Florence and welcome to our cross-border conference, Brexit and Young People, Can You Hear U.s.a.? These high school students live in border communities. Many commute seamlessly from 1 side to the other to attend school. SPEAKER: The project recruits young people from both Protestant and Cosmic communities on both sides of border. LARRY: At present does anyone have some strong views on that like how would you see yourselves dissimilar than someone in the n? Girl: If you have an Irish passport, in my heed you're Irish, doesn't matter where you're parents are from, doesn't affair what groundwork y'all accept, if you carry an Irish gaelic passport, you're Irish gaelic. Information technology's part of the Good Fri agreement: residents of Northern Ireland can choose a British or Irish passport. Or both. DOIRE FINN: People living in Northern Ireland are allowed to have a British passport and an Irish passport and I think I identify equally Irish simply I mean I hold a British passport so really, for my identity isn't e'er something that in my family was a massive issue. My parents kind of said, "You identify equally how you feel" and I recollect that that was a actually nice manner to bring u.s. upwards. DOIRE: The census that was happening hither you could either say you were Irish or British my mum wanted to identify as European and they were like, "Well, y'all're not allowed" and she was similar, "No, I'chiliad identifying myself every bit European." And they were similar "You have to option." By aiming to dissever the Uk from the EU, Brexit could interrupt the gratis menstruation of people and goods - and violate the Skillful Friday Agreement. ALAN (walking with Kassie) - I hope, I promise when you've got photographs my cows now, that nosotros finish up getting a better toll for these cows. Alan Mc Farland raises cattle and sheep a few miles north of the border. But he gets his feed from a benefactor in the S. It's a transaction that happens regularly, without border checks, customs duties or tariffs. ALAN McFARLAND: No one knows what the final result is yet going to be - we just approach our business each and every day having made an assumption that mail service-Brexit we will be trading with the aforementioned people on the same terms. KASSIE: Did you feel strongly about staying or leaving? ALAN: I was actually undecided in the matter, to the extent that I didn't vote at all. But having that said in Northern Ireland the majority of the vote was remaining in the E.U. **GRAPHIC of vote breakdown** ALAN: Simply one affair I would say you e'er have the right to change is to modify your mind - I would be in favor of a second referendum, to do away with the ambiguity. That's because many people here recollect the border as a source of hostility and violence. And a whole generation since and so has grown up without ane. HARD BORDER MONTAGE FARMER: NO HARD Edge GIRL: Hard BORDER Lead TO TROUBLE SOMEONE ELSE: Information technology But MAKES THINGS HARDER But when Prime Minister Theresa May tried to introduce a provision.. MONTAGE: BACKSTOP BACKSTOP ..that would guarantee an get out without a hard border in Northern Republic of ireland, hardline Brexiters rejected it...arguing an open edge would essentially keep the Great britain tethered to the Eu. So no difficult border, no deal, and and then far no Brexit. ... Also, no sense of where all this could lead. ALAN: I think there should be a 2d plebiscite FR. McVEIGH (287_2358.MFX 09:08): I desire to see Republic of ireland reunified. Because I think it'south the only hope for this island. Economically, culturally. ANGLICAN: We need to stay with England for their money And while everyone saidsays they didn'tdon't want a return to violence, the uncertainty seems to be threatening what is already a fragile peace. //testing the land's fragile peace. (i think that can embrace the pessimists and optimists) Police are investigating a recent bombing outside the courthouse in Londonderry reminder that the by is not far backside. ANGLICAN: We were in the dominicus and now Brexit destroyed the sun SIOBHAN: If there is a hard Brexit I recollect there will be damaged but we volition have to be OK at the end of it. And we've been through harder times than this earlier. FIRST NAME, LAST NAME Siobhan is a mental wellness expert who studieds? the effects of the state'south history on mental wellness. SIOBHAN: Well, we've got to adopt a trauma-informed approach and think about everything from the perspective of those who've been a victim of violence. We take no mode of describing it. We have no mutual narrative. And it'southward going to take a while for us to generate those materials. TOUTS: This paranoia, when volition it end, I've heard information technology all before and I'm hearing information technology again. DAOIRE: I call back I'thou just actually scared most the future of Northern Ireland. I love living hither and I think it's a lovely identify to be. The craic's actually practiced and everyone'due south really friendly and I don't want that to be dragged backwards into a by that was really, actually dark for so many people. And I think, you know, there'southward and then many expert things about Northern Ireland and I just don't want those to become away. (credits with funny tag of Farmer asking about our Mexican border) Producer Kassie Bracken Cinematography Souki Mehdaoui Editor Shane O'Neill Senior Producer Mona El-Naggar Graphics Aaron Byrd Nicole Fineman Dave Horn Archival Inquiry Dahlia Kozlowsky Archival Footage Tktktk Tktktk Tktktk Aerial Cinematography Adithya Sambamurthy Executive Producer Marcelle Hopkins SIOBHAN: In 2008 we studied the Northern Republic of ireland population and we asked people whether they had witnessed violent events that were related to the troubles such equally bombings and shootings and we found that 39% of the population had. There's some bear witness that biological changes that happen in response to trauma, that that's passed to the next generation and in outcome it's programming the next generation to be able to respond more quickly and rapidly if there's a bombing or a shooting or any. Only of grade when a child has that it increases the risk of mental affliction. Um, there've been more than deaths past suicide since the signing of the Good Fri agreement than there were through the whole of the troubles through violence. END!!!******* BENCHWARMERS SIOBHAN O'NEILL: I mean the hard border is very symbolic I think if that happened in that location's a place to attack at that place's a place to focus that anger. Siobhan O'Neill is a leading mental wellness researcher who has studied the legacy of the Troubles SIOBHAN: Function of the GFA was that British forces that were there that that would no longer be the case and that there would be free movement. Anth the remove of the border was an amazing think and now if y'all pass through the border there's absolutely no bear witness of it. You would possibly see that the signs that the speed limits were miles and then kilometeres and that would really exist it. Or "It's called flop scare" "We grow up with it, not as bad as information technology used to be" Friction match shots of Northern Republic of ireland today Match shots of The Undertones with the Touts <"Only I likewise retrieve things can regress…you get a groundswell and everything moves forward 10 or 15 years and then one affair kicks in and information technology backslides" Kassie: is that Brexit?> Open up BEAT Ane - INTRO TOUTS An afterthought during the Brexit referendum in 2016, Northern Ireland and how practise bargain with its Southern Border if and when it leaves the European union has been the chief event threatening the entire bargain. (MAYBE A MAP Hither THAT SHOWS REPUBLIC OF Republic of ireland (E.U) and NORTHERN Republic of ireland (U.One thousand) But to empathise why this remains unresolved two years afterwards, and what's at stake in the decision you lot demand to know a bit almost recent history in Northern Ireland. Northern Ireland was created in 1922. But since its creation its been characterized by conflict between two groups, each challenge the In 1968 hostilities intensified during the period known as the troubles An reconsideration during the Brexit plebiscite in 2016, Northern Ireland and the unresolved issue of how do bargain with its Southern Edge when it leaves the European union now threaten the deal's collapse. (MAYBE A MAP HERE THAT SHOWS REPUBLIC OF Republic of ireland (E.U) and NORTHERN Republic of ireland (U.K) Merely to sympathize why this remains unresolved two years later, and what'southward at stake-you need to know a bit about the history of Northern Republic of ireland and the border itself. In Derry, The Touts' singer and drummer weren't old enough to vote in the referendum, but they live in the state many expect to be most impacted by the deal. We drove The singer and drummer weren't old enough to vote in the plebiscite, but they alive in the country many expect to exist almost impacted by the deal. Theirs is the generation that grew upwards afterwards the good Fri agreement that ended decades of sectarian violence has only known relative peace in the region. ASSEMBLY 031019 - KASSIE NOTES Notes - I recall we need in the narration a sense that, despite the fact this generation is defined past growing up in peace, there are still deep divides and conflict. Brexit has already impacted this by exacerbating polarization and creating economic dubiety and feet that violence could return. I would beloved to try to utilise the Touts/kids in park/Derry to establish the "us" v "them" nature of Northern Ireland - I agree the piece is not about sectarianism per se, but it sets up and personalizes the visual sense of place - the "dispatchy-ness" - peace walls and murals, and also then might have more touch on when we see that it seems most young people are united in the feeling like they weren't considered. Besides, Brexit was prompted in large office past the us five them mentality in England, but in NI, as compared to the rest of United kingdom of great britain and northern ireland, they already have their own united states of america v them which continues today. **** It's here in Derry where many say "The Troubles" began, in 1968, - when the predominantly Catholic community protested against housing and employment bigotry. A civil rights march was brutally close down by police/ground forces. It led to roughly xxx years of sectarian violence between the predominantly Catholic Nationalists who consider themselves Irish, and the Unionists, who consider themselves British, the majority, Protestant. BEAT Two: THE BREXIT Generation in Northern Ireland - Youth/Derry/Recent History - fear of retriggering violence felt nearly acutely past people nearest the edge BEAT Iii: Immature PEOPLE'S Conference Challenging Identity, Good Friday - which allowed people to claim Irish or British citizenships - the idea that the fluidity of movement will be stopped BEAT Iv: along the actual border between the countries, it is much more complicated - interwoven - FARMER BEAT V: The members of Touts call Derry their home. Many say it'south here where the flow known as the "The Troubles" began, in 1968, - when the predominantly Catholic customs protested against housing and employment discrimination and unfair voting policies nether British dominion. Simply some claimed it to be a cover for paramilitary actors, and a peaceful ceremonious rights march was halted by police force in a brutal crackdown. xxx years of mortiferous sectarian violence followed between the predominantly Catholic Nationalists who consider themselves Irish, and the Unionists, who identify as British - the majority, Protestant. Sound up on Touts Touts may have grown upward in the insufficiently peaceful era marked past the signing of the Proficient Friday Agreement in 1998. But their city, called Derry past nationalists and Londonderry by unionists remains fractured. The tensions never way and in fact many say Brexit has exacerbated it TOUTS: Line about divisions withal there Schools are withal mostly segregated along sectarian lines. As are neighborhoods. A TKTK fence/wall helps secure the border between a Catholic customs and a Protestant community. Every night, it is locked for protection. TOUTS Line nearly impact of Brexit already? Or line about Brexit? Just 100 feet away from the wall, in the mostly Protestant community The Fountain, we spoke with a grouping of teenagers about TKTK MIRIAM: Nearly everyone I spoke with mentioned/agreed the same worst example scenario HARD BORDER MONTAGE To impose a hard border, with check points and official crossings would cause headaches both practically and symbolically. And that's where the Irish backstop comes in. THERESA MAY: The Irish gaelic backstop was the Uk's provision to ensure that Brexit would not Sounds proficient, but The trouble is, Northern Ireland is in a custom's marriage that requires a custom's border PROTESTANT PRIEST: WE had a number of years that we thought we were seeing the sunshine, and now with Brexit information technology's every bit if the lord's day has gone behind the clouds. Girl: It'south going to get over again a situation of u.s.a. and them. LARRY: Who is them and united states? GIRL: Similar Catholics and Protestants or Irish people and people from Northern Ireland, we're not going to see each other every bit the same country LARRY you're saying nosotros're both live in the same state, in my mind that's true, merely however I live under a British jurisdiction, Kassie: they have a lot to be fucked about Cut to: kids workshop Yeah, these kids are confused considering this shit is confusing. Brexit, and Northern Ireland itself. 45 second history lesson of Northern Ireland And this is the legacy they've inherited. NOW made worse by… Brexit! Borders are usually about keeping people in or keeping people out, In this instance, Simply it's about something more than nuanced and complicated, like the border itself DRONE SHOT OF MEANDERING Border And Ireland, with its taste for storytelling and humor has a singular relationship with its own border People wandering in and out, funny smuggling stories. LOYALISTS EQUANIMOUS STATEMENT About BREXIT (perhaps from mental wellness professor) Decision: AT THE BAR IN DERRY WITH THE TOUTS (with compelling TOUT SOT) One of the other key stipulations of the Good Friday understanding was a costless edge with the s. Now, Brexit is threatening this. It's the thing people I spoke with said worried them almost. HARD BORDER Montage. Before I got here I'd planned to drive along the edge - it wasn't so simple. Here's the edge. On my TKTK mile journeying from TK to TK, I crossed international lines/crossed TKTK times. THIS Section TBA BASED ON GRAPHIC I oft didn't even realize I'd crossed. 30 years agone, this crossing would have looked more like this: FR. McVEIGH (287_2356.MXF 03:23)): The hardline Brexit people are adamant to get out without a deal if necessary, or with a deal without a backstop - (that'south the only affair that's going to satisfy them, and the DUP who are propping upwards the London regime) 04:50 The Brexiteers in London don't care all that much. Father Joe McVeigh grew upwards along the border and remembers the checkpoints equally vehement hotspots. Sound up: Fr. McVeigh shows Kassie photos of the border But this bridge at the border in Belleek shows none of the vestiges of That's help spur a new momentum for a united Republic of ireland. 13:35 If the Brexit people want to go on their line, they have to consider what'southward going to happen to u.s.. Nosotros needed to be treated separately and differently. The fright of a hard border, with all of the economic and practical implications has given rise to some other potential upshot. FR. McVEIGH (287_2358.MFX 09:08): I want to encounter Ireland reunified. Because I remember information technology's the only promise for this isle. Economically, culturally. (08:54 It has to happen, it simply has to happen 09:45 Partition has run out of road. ) FARMER: Voted to remain in the EU. And so leaving the Eu would go against the voting majority of Northern Republic of ireland. Merely leaving the UK altogether would go confronting the wishes of some of Northern Ireland's Protestant bulk. ANGLICAN: Protestant people would certainly be nervous of any changes. There'south a huge amount of money that comes from Westminster and London. Ironically, the hardline Brexit position has revived some calls for a United Republic of ireland FR. McVEIGH : I want to see Ireland reunified. Because I remember it's the only hope for this island. Simply positions like Friar McVeigh's aren't very popular, especially amid Protestants in Northern Ireland'due south 6 counties, who would go a minority overnight if they joined Republic of ireland's 26 as i land. So maybe they could take a political border that remains somewhat relaxed. That's called a Soft Edge or an Irish gaelic Backstop. Theresa May: Irish Backstop montage But no one really knows how that would work or what it would await like, which is why information technology'south been such a bee in the bonnet of the Brexit process. Some hardline Brexiters are calling for the re-establishment of a hard border, a fringe position that proved very unpopular with nearly of the people I met while I was here: HARD BORDER MONTAGE The hard edge was both inconvenient and psychologically fraught. TO SIOBHAN Leaving the Great britain altogether would hateful losing money from England. The DUP advocates it finer mean keeping the And that's why the Irish backstop came up and failed?. THERESA MAY: BACKSTOP MONTAGE. When May tried to introduce a deal that said no difficult border, hard brexiteers, including forcing Britain to play by the rules of a unmarried European market place even after it separates from the EU, it wouldn't laissez passer. It was meant to guarantee that there would exist no difficult border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of ireland after the United kingdom of great britain and northern ireland separates from the EU. Just then, how and where would goods undergo checks every bit they travel between the United kingdom and the European union. There's no easy respond? The backstop provision says United kingdom of great britain and northern ireland should go along to play by the rules of a single European market until politicians can concur on how and where goods will undergo checks every bit they travel between the UK and the Eu. Only how tin the UK leave without violating the terms of the peace treaty that calls for an open border hither? Which is, in part, why politicians exercise not concord on the terms of the backstop, and it's unclear if they e'er volition. They didn't want to feel tethered to the Eu. It leaves the question of Brexit unsolved and opens upwardly new questions for Northern Ireland. Information technology all leads to this renewed interest among some people for a united ireland. Of leaving the United kingdom of great britain and northern ireland altogether. Siobhan O'Neill is a leading mental health researcher who has studied the legacy of the Troubles, And the border debate has, somewhat ironically, revived an old argument (for reuniting the north with the s) Is FR. McVEIGH (287_2358.MFX 09:08): I desire to see Republic of ireland reunified. Because I think it's the only hope for this isle. Economically, culturally. The present is more than closely tied to the past here than In that location's been a fragile peace here for 20 years but Brexit Well, nosotros've got to prefer a trauma-informed approach and think about everything from the perspective of those who've been a victim of violence. We accept no manner of describing it. We have no common narrative. And it'due south going to take a while for us to generate those materials. But despite xx years of fragile peace And Brexit has also had a real psychological bear upon on the citizens of Northern Ireland For a country that is only a generation away from one of the most bitter conflicts in modernistic history the tumult How will Northern Ireland SIOBHAN: LINE Most HOW BREXIT HAS ALREADY HAD AN IMPACT
What is the Irish "backstop"?
If you don't understand the program for the Irish gaelic border, you're not alone.
Confusing in the best of times and loudly debated well-nigh all the time, the Irish backstop is shorthand for the question of how to deal with the border between Ireland, a Eu fellow member land, and Northern Ireland, a part of the U.k., once Britain leaves the European Union.
The backstop would be a fashion to avoid building a physical bulwark with checkpoints for goods — the kind of barrier that the European Spousal relationship has done abroad with within the bloc. The backstop provision of Mrs. May'due south Brexit programme says that so long equally there is no long-term trade pact, U.k. would remain in the European customs wedlock and Northern Ireland would be bound by many of its rules.
Great britain could therefore remain tied to the European Marriage indefinitely without having a voice in shaping its rules — a nightmare scenario for difficult-line supporters of Brexit. Mrs. May could cut a bargain with the opposition Labour Party for a plan that keeps Britain closer to the bloc, only doing and so would put her at risk of alienating her Conservative allies.
A call for a full general ballot
Charles Walker, a senior Bourgeois lawmaker and fellow member of the influential 1922 commission, demanded on Tuesday that Mrs. May phone call a full general election if she loses the vote on her Brexit deal.
"If it doesn't go through tonight, as certain as night follows day, there will be a general election inside a matter of days or weeks," he told BBC Radio 4'southward World at One program. "Information technology is non sustainable, the electric current situation in Parliament."
The 1922 Committee is a group of Bourgeois lawmakers who meet weekly to discuss party matters. They are responsible for keeping the leadership informed of the party's mood.
The commission would manage whatever leadership election, although Mrs. May is largely allowed from such an effort to remove her for the next ten months since a party no-conviction vote in Dec failed.
Epitome
A linchpin of the deal
At the center of the Brexit issue is the Democratic Unionist Party, a small group of socially conservative, pro-withdrawal lawmakers from Northern Ireland who wield outsize influence because they prop upwards Prime Minister Theresa May's government.
The backstop infuriates them not so much because it might trap Britain in the regulatory orbit of Europe, but rather because it might demark Northern Ireland to more than European trading rules than information technology does other parts of the United Kingdom.
That finer means trade barriers in the Irish Sea, splitting Northern Ireland e'er then slightly from the remainder of the United Kingdom. That's unacceptable to unionists, for whom the link to U.k. is sacred. The D.U.P. would rather kill the backstop and risk a hard border between Northern Ireland and the Commonwealth of Ireland.
The 10 D.U.P. lawmakers were coy early Tuesday about the tweaks that Mrs. May had obtained. But after Britain'southward top lawyer said the new language didn't substantially change the backstop arrangement, the regime'south slim hopes of winning them over chop-chop deflated.
The Belfast Telegraph reported that the D.U.P. saw the legal communication as "non exactly a ringing endorsement." Other news outlets said D.U.P. officials saw no mode that they could support the deal.
Conservatives balk at the proposal
A faction of pro-Brexit lawmakers within the governing Conservative Party opposed Mrs. May'south deal afterward a group of its lawyers officially recommended on Tuesday that the lawmakers should not vote for information technology.
The prime minister needed to win over members of the faction, known every bit the European Research Group, to have any chance of getting her deal through Parliament.
The group of lawyers published its cess of the extra assurances that Mrs. May had secured from European Matrimony leaders, saying that the agreement yet did not give United kingdom the power to extract itself from European trading rules that information technology would exist forced to accept as function of the backstop.
"They practise not provide any exit mechanism from the protocol which is nether the U.G.'s control," the assessment plant.
Epitome
Unrest in the Labour Party
Jeremy Corbyn, the leader of the opposition Labour Party, opposed Mrs. May's bargain but otherwise maintained his ambivalence over Brexit as role of his strategy to purchase fourth dimension and come out ahead, observers said.
Mr. Corbyn has said that he does not like the plan put before the British Parliament while "being imprecise over what exactly is Labour'south dream deal, other than that he wants a closer alliance with the customs union and single marketplace," said Jonathan Tonge, a professor of politics at the University of Liverpool.
On the flooring of Parliament on Tuesday, Mr. Corbyn dismissed the assurances Mrs. May had received from the European Spousal relationship as "waffle," and said that while the prime number government minister had laid out a number of Brexit goals, "she hasn't met any of those objectives."
"The Prime number Government minister's negotiations accept failed," he wrote on Twitter. "Last night's agreement with the European Commission does not incorporate anything approaching the changes Theresa May promised Parliament."
[Read about how Mr. Corbyn's efforts to play both sides of the Brexit debate are violent his party apart .]
Mr. Corbyn'southward ambivalence has angered the party's main constituencies: Although a majority of Labour voters overall wanted United kingdom of great britain and northern ireland to remain in the Eu, Brexit supporters in rural areas and working communities make upwards about a third of the party's electorate.
Mr. Corbyn has consistently rejected a "Tory Brexit," and recently said he would back up a 2nd referendum — a bid to finish a rebellion amid Labour lawmakers in Parliament. But that proposal has angered many Go out voters — peculiarly those who feel left behind by a party they believed had championed them.
"Corbyn tin can't ride both horses forever but he'due south already ridden for quite a long distance, and there is a certain logic to information technology," Professor Tonge said.
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Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2019/03/12/world/europe/theresa-may-brexit-vote.html
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